The immediate threat of war between Israel and Hezbollah has been averted, but for how long?
Whether or not the recent clash between Israel and the Lebanese militia Hezbollah is over, there are still indications of a very devastating war in the future.
It is in the interest of both parties to stop the dispute here. No one wants a complete war. Much depends on how Hezbollah reacts to Israel’s move to quell the recent conflict.
The exchange of attacks across the borders was a response to Israeli air strikes at Hezbollah headquarters in Dehiyah, Beirut.
Describing the clash in military analysts’ favorite words, it is a ‘violation of the rules of the game’.
It was Israel’s first attack on the Lebanese capital since the 2006 war between Israel and Hezbollah.
Israel is believed to have targeted a large mixer-fired industrial machine that was instrumental in fueling missiles and rockets.
This is considered part of The Precision Project, which seeks to increase the range and range of missiles provided by Iran to its allies, including Hezbollah, in the region.
Hezbollah’s response to the Israeli invasion was decided, which is why Israel had taken all security measures. Israel has reduced the deployment of bomber squads in the border area, postponed military exercises, and troops on patrols, making it an easy target in the region.
Hezbollah’s response, as expected, was not drastic.
Hezbollah fired a small number of tank-fired missile missiles at an Israeli outpost and targeted an Israeli armored ambulance.
Hezbollah immediately claimed its success, declaring that it had “destroyed an Israeli military vehicle on Avivum Barracks Road that killed and injured the people inside it.”
Israel now says no one was killed in the attack, but initially, it sent a helicopter to evacuate the wounded at the site of the attack. Now it seems that sending a helicopter from Israel was a tactic so that Hezbollah is happy with its ‘success’, which can take some time to ease tensions.
Israel’s response to the Kornet fire was limited. A gunship helicopter targeted the rocket firing site and shells of smoke were fired by Israeli artillery.
So will Hezbollah’s leader Hassan Nasrullah be proud of his ‘success’ or can he even begin the second round?
It will only be decided in time, but one thing is clear that neither Israel nor Hezbollah wants to prolong the conflict.
But the Israelites have to answer some questions.
The first question is, will he attack Iranian-backed missile programs in the region even in the future, knowing that this is a violation of the so-called rules of the game?
But it is obviously not a game and the ‘rules’ are only temporary. Here, not only Israel and Hezbollah, but also Israel and Hezbollah-backed Iran, an unprecedented war continues.
And if you speak in a geographical context, this war is now spread over a wide front that extends from Lebanon to Syria. It is also likely that Israel has also been targeted by air strikes to some extent in Iraq.
Iran is moving in three directions.
First of all, Iran wants to continue its missile supply line for its allies in the region. Second, Iran wants to improve the missile technology that Hezbollah already has. Third, Iran wants to increase its influence in the region because of its role in saving President Bashar al-Assad’s government in Syria, making it the basis for a military force in the region. Against another front can be opened.
Israel has been steadily attacking Iran and recently claimed that it had thwarted the Iranian-backed drone attack on Israel.
Israeli intelligence’s ability to receive intelligence is extraordinary. He continues to attack missile convoys, storage depots, drone bases and industrial sites.
But these are strategic successes. Speaking in a strategic context, this will slow Iran’s plans, but there is no indication that Iran will make any changes to its core strategy.
Countries outside the region appear to have failed to change the direction of Tehran. The United States is clearly not in that position. And assurances that trying to convince Syria to stop the growing influence of Iran and its proxies in the Moscow region have only proved futile.
It is meaningful that Israeli air strikes have intensified since meeting in June between US, Russia and Israeli national security advisers.
The latest clash between the Israeli and Hezbollah war may have come to an end, but the tension is still going on and the threat of regular war is ever higher.
The example of tension between Israel and Hezbollah is similar to those old films where the hero finds a bomb whose fuse is burning and fires its fuselage shortly before it explodes. The fuse of the Israeli-Hezbollah conflict is long enough, but no one knows the length of the fuse.
This time, the fuse has been extinguished before it exploded, but when the fuse catches fire again, its length is reduced.